PVC flooring yog ua los ntawm polyvinyl chloride (PVC) ua cov khoom tseem ceeb, nrog rau cov khoom siv xws li hnyav calcium hmoov, plasticizer, stabilizer, thiab lwm yam., ua los ntawm calendering lossis extrusion txheej txheem, feem ntau hu ua yas flooring.
PVC flooring muaj qhov zoo ntawm kev tiv thaiv ib puag ncig, rov ua dua tshiab, txhim kho yooj yim, hnav tsis kam, noo noo tsis kam, tiv thaiv plam, dej tsis qab thiab hluav taws kub.
Kev loj hlob yav tom ntej ntawm kev thov rau PVC flooring hauv Suav teb tuaj yeem los ntawm kev nce hauv kev thov hauv tsev hauv Suav teb. Nrog rau txoj kev loj hlob ntawm Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam vaj tse hauv tsev thiab kev nyiam ntau ntxiv rau kev siv PVC flooring hauv kev lag luam txhim kho tsev. Nws yog qhov ua tau kom nrawm hloov cov khoom ntoo hauv pem teb thiab cov ntaub pua plag los ntawm PVC flooring thiab nce kev lag luam ntawm PVC flooring hauv Suav teb. Raws li kev thov sab nraud, PVC flooring yog tsuas yog xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Meskas.
Vim tias qhov txias ntawm Asmeskas kev lag luam vaj tsev thiab cov teeb meem tariff, kev loj hlob ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus PVC flooring xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Meskas tau qeeb lossis txuas ntxiv mus.
Raws li Zhiyan Consulting txheeb cais, qhov feem pua ntawm kev thov sab nraud rau PVC flooring hauv 2020-2022 yog 65%, 55%, thiab 51% raws li, thiab feem ntau ntawm kev thov sab nraud tau txo qis.
Hauv 2022, Tuam Tshoj qhov kev xa tawm ntawm PVC flooring rau Tebchaws Meskas suav txog 50% ntawm Tuam Tshoj cov khoom siv PVC flooring exports. Nws tuaj yeem txhais tau yooj yim tias Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tawm mus rau Tebchaws Meskas suav txog li 25% ntawm Tuam Tshoj tus PVC flooring thov. Peb tau ua cov kev xav hauv qab no. Assumption 1: Xyoo 2023, qhov kev thov hauv tsev rau PVC flooring yuav nce 5%, qhov kev thov xa tawm yuav nce 0%, thiab kev xa tawm yuav nyob twj ywm ib yam li xyoo 2022, tom qab ntawd kev loj hlob ntawm PVC flooring yuav yog li 2.27%. .
Assumption 2: Hauv 2023, qhov kev thov hauv tsev rau PVC flooring yuav nce 10%, qhov kev thov xa tawm yuav nce 0%, thiab kev xa tawm yuav zoo ib yam li xyoo 2022, tom qab ntawd qhov kev loj hlob ntawm PVC flooring yuav yog 4.71%.
Assumption 3: Xyoo 2023, qhov kev thov hauv tsev rau PVC flooring yuav nce 5%, qhov kev thov xa tawm yuav nce los ntawm -5%, ces qhov kev loj hlob ntawm PVC flooring yuav yog li ntawm -0.29%, uas yog, qhov kev loj hlob ntawm PVC flooring nyob rau hauv 2023 yuav zoo ib yam.
Assumption 4: Xyoo 2023, qhov kev thov hauv tsev rau PVC flooring yuav nce 10%, qhov kev thov xa tawm yuav nce los ntawm -5%, ces qhov kev loj hlob ntawm PVC flooring yuav yog 2.15%. Conservative kwv yees qhia tau hais tias qhov tshwm sim ntawm scenario peb yog siab, thiab optimistic kwv yees qhia tau hais tias qhov tshwm sim ntawm scenario plaub yog siab. Yog li ntawd, nyob rau hauv 2023, PVC flooring yuav tsum tau them sai sai mus rau lub domestic thov sab. Kev thov hauv tsev yuav txhawb nqa PVC flooring, thiab feem ntau ntawm cov kev thov txawv teb chaws tuaj yeem pheej poob mus ntxiv. Cov lus qhia txog kev nqis peev: PVC yuav tuav qhov kev xav tsis zoo nyob rau lub sijhawm luv. Yuav ntawm dips hauv daim ntawv cog lus 05. Sim yuav ze 6,200-6,300 yuan/ton. Kev ceeb toom txaus ntshai: Macro txaus ntshai, xav tau qis dua qhov kev cia siab.